Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define resolution based on an authoritative, single source: Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define resolution based on an authoritative, single source: Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. Explicit navigation instructions and the exact ranking metric (#1 spot) are provided, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. A clear resolution trigger upon release and a definitive deadline of March 31, 2027, with a designated fallback outcome prevent open-ended timing issues.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Zendaya ranks #1 on Google's Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Note that while the question mentions "this year," the resolution rules specifically specify the list for the year 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Zendaya is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to "Other" if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market may resolve as soon as the 2026 list is released, regardless of navigation changes on the site. Google's published list on the Google Trends Year in Search hub serves as the deciding source.
Resolution source
Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list published by Google
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·