Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules are straightforward and standard for presidential election markets.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules are straightforward and standard for presidential election markets. Resolution is pegged to consensus calls across three specific major media networks (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC). If all three outlets do not project the same winner before January 20, 2029, the market relies on an unambiguous fallback: who is officially inaugurated. There is minimal ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Wes Moore will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. Resolution is determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date on January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·