Presidential Election Winner 2028
58 live outcomes · highest priced: Jon Ossoff at 17% · first close Nov 7, 2028 · $740.2M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will win the 2028 US Presidential Election. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate and resolves based on the official consensus of designated news outlets or the person inaugurated as president.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains individual candidate markets. Because the rules state that the market resolves to the person who wins the election (or is inaugurated), at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves Yes if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for that candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same individual by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is actually inaugurated. Candidates who are not declared the winner or inaugurated will resolve No.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline if all three media sources have not called the race for the same candidate.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (fallback: presidential inauguration)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 17% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| JD Vance | 13% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marco Rubio | 9% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9% | ▼ 1 | Low | High | |
| Gavin Newsom | 7% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Ron DeSantis | 6% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kamala Harris | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Andy Beshear | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tucker Carlson | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Raphael Warnock | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| James Talarico | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Wes Moore | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Kelly | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ro Khanna | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| JB Pritzker | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ted Cruz | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Donald Trump Jr. | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ivanka Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rahm Emanuel | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Abdul El-Sayed | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elon Musk | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Cory Booker | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Stephen Smith | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tim Walz | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| LeBron James | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Eric Trump | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Jalen Brunson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Josh Stein | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Candace Owens | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tim Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Doug Burgum | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| John N. Kennedy | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Rick Scott | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| James Fishback | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |