Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution conditions are straightforward and leave little room for ambiguity.
Read the full assessment
The resolution conditions are straightforward and leave little room for ambiguity. The market specifies three major news organizations—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—and requires all three to reach a consensus call before resolving early. If full consensus among these designated outlets is not reached prior to January 20, 2029, the market provides a clear, objective fallback based on whichever individual is inaugurated.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ro Khanna will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ro Khanna wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if Ro Khanna does not win the election. Resolution is determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·