Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define how the winner is determined.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define how the winner is determined. Resolution occurs once three specific, named major news networks (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) all project the race for the same candidate. If a consensus among all three outlets is not reached prior to January 20, 2029, the market falls back to the objective standard of which candidate is actually inaugurated. There are no discretionary edge cases or ambiguous terms.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eric Trump will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Eric Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another person wins the election. Resolution is determined once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or whoever is inaugurated if the sources do not reach consensus by January 20, 2029)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·