Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly establish how the outcome is determined, requiring an agreed race call across three specific named news organizations: the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly establish how the outcome is determined, requiring an agreed race call across three specific named news organizations: the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources do not reach a unanimous call by the January 20, 2029 inauguration date, the market resolves definitively based on who is inaugurated as president. The conditions are straightforward, objective, and provide a clear fallback mechanism.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Elissa Slotkin will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Elissa Slotkin wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or the inauguration outcome if sources do not agree)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·