Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward and clearly structured.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward and clearly structured. The outcome relies on three specific major media organizations (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) reaching consensus on the winner, with a clear fallback to the individual inaugurated on January 20, 2029, if the networks do not agree. There are no vague terms or unusual edge cases that would surprise a participant.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether John N. Kennedy will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if John N. Kennedy wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. Resolution is determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (fallback: candidate inaugurated)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·