Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clear and straightforward.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clear and straightforward. The market resolves once three specific, named media organizations (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) all call the election for the same candidate. In the event of a dispute or delayed calls where all three outlets do not agree, the rules provide a definitive backstop resolving to whoever is officially inaugurated on January 20, 2029.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Rick Scott will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election. It resolves based on consensus media race calls or the eventual inauguration.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Rick Scott wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. It resolves No if another candidate wins the election. Resolution is decided once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the January 20, 2029 inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·