Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on a direct, unambiguous official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on a direct, unambiguous official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize. It clearly defines that joint awards count toward a positive outcome and includes a standard long-stop date of March 31, 2028, resolving to negative if no announcement occurs by then. The criteria and official source leave virtually no room for subjective interpretation or unexpected edge-case resolutions.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
10%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms are awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms are named as a recipient of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, including if the prize is awarded jointly. The market resolves to No if they are not awarded the prize, or if no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The Norwegian Nobel Committee's first official announcement serves as the deciding source.
Resolution source
The first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·