Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
17 live outcomes · highest priced: Jimmy Lai at 11% · first close Apr 1, 2028 · $277.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks potential recipients of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize. Each market measures whether a specific individual or organization will be awarded the prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate or organization. More than one market can resolve Yes because the prize can be awarded jointly, and any listed candidate named among the recipients resolves to Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the specified individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If the prize is awarded jointly, each named recipient resolves to Yes. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 prize is made by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Announcement deadline: — Markets resolve to No if no official announcement is made by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
First official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai | 11% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 11% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 10% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 10% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| UNRWA | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Donald Trump | 8% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Melania Trump | 7% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| International Criminal Court | 6% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| International Court of Justice | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Julian Assange | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| António Guterres | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Elon Musk | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Doctors Without Borders | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Greta Thunberg | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med |