Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the outcome criteria, relying on the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the outcome criteria, relying on the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Joint recipients are explicitly accounted for, and a definitive fallback deadline of March 31, 2028 ensures clear closure if no announcement occurs.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
11%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Committee to Protect Journalists is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, either individually or as a joint recipient.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Committee to Protect Journalists is announced as a recipient of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, including if the award is shared jointly. The market resolves to No if the organization is not named among the recipients. The market also resolves to No if no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize is made by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee serves as the decider.
Resolution source
The first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·