Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an exact URL and column on Box Office Mojo to determine the highest domestic calendar gross of 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an exact URL and column on Box Office Mojo to determine the highest domestic calendar gross of 2026. Explicit clarifications are provided that only 2026 calendar dates count rather than total lifetime box office runs. A clear alphabetical tiebreak rule is established, and an unambiguous deadline of January 7, 2027 is set for when data must be available before turning to an alternative credible source.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jumanji 3 achieves the highest domestic calendar gross of 2026. Resolution is specifically tied to calendar-year earnings rather than lifetime gross.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jumanji 3 is listed as the film with the highest 2026 gross in the specified source once data through December 31, 2026, is available. It resolves to No if any other film holds the highest 2026 gross. Only earnings within the 2026 calendar year count toward the gross; earnings outside 2026 are disregarded. In an exact tie, the film appearing first alphabetically wins. If final data is unavailable by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. Box Office Mojo serves as the primary deciding source.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·