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CryptoCloses · in 13 hours$26.6K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It identifies the exact resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT pair), the specific chart view (1-minute candle), the precise timestamp (closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14), and the metric to evaluate (the final Close price compared to $80,000). There is no discretion left to the resolver, and the rules leave minimal room for ambiguity or unexpected edge cases.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

▼ −0.65 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
80,000 · Yes · 1MO 7.5 H 7.5 L 0.3 C 0.3−7.2 (−96.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 11 Nov 2026, 09:10 UTC

The probability fell from 13% to 2%. Bitcoin slipped 0.28% on Binance during the hour and sat about 8.5% below the $80,000 threshold, a likely driver making finishing above $80,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 09:00 UTC, 85% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.3% in the move hour, −1.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (down), 76,000 (down), 72,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 09:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $80,000 at a specific minute on November 14, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance rather than broader market indexes or other trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 14, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $80,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $80,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·