Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide clear, objective criteria for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide clear, objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied strictly to the high price of one-minute candles for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly specified timeframe. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the target threshold is reached at any point during the window, or to No after the deadline passes. The single resolution source and explicit chart parameters leave virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $180,000 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is tied exclusively to 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET has a final High price of $180,000 or higher. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·