Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective resolution conditions based on a single named exchange and pair: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise and objective resolution conditions based on a single named exchange and pair: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle shows a High price at or above $170,000 within the specified window from November 24, 2025, through December 31, 2026, ET, and to No otherwise. It clearly specifies the chart timeframe and URL to use, leaving no room for source discretion or ambiguous interpretations, though participants should be aware that price spikes on other exchanges or trading pairs will not trigger resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $170,000 before the end of 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $170,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not met during that period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets do not count. The deciding source is Binance 1-minute candle chart data for the BTC/USDT pair.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·