Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market relies on an objective and clearly defined data feed: the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle high price accessed at a specified URL.
Read the full assessment
The market relies on an objective and clearly defined data feed: the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle high price accessed at a specified URL. The resolution conditions state precisely that if any one-minute candle high meets or exceeds $150,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in the Eastern timezone, the market resolves to Yes immediately. If that threshold is not reached during the specified window, it resolves to No. The rules explicitly restrict the data source to Binance's BTC/USDT pair, eliminating ambiguity from price differences across other platforms or pairs. Source discretion is minimal and mechanical.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches $150,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on the 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final High price of $150,000 or higher between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds this threshold during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair on the 1m chart setting. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·