Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria. Outcome determination relies strictly on the 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly stated timezone and timeframe. The market resolves early to Yes if the target threshold of $140,000 is met at any point during the window, or to No after the final deadline. The data source is a single named exchange pair with explicit chart parameters, leaving no room for interpretive discretion or source conflict.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $140,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is strictly tied to Binance's 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $140,000. It resolves to No if this threshold is not reached during that period. The deciding source is Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT chart data. Prices from other exchanges, different pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·