Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution, relying on a specific data point: the final high price of any one-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution, relying on a specific data point: the final high price of any one-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. The timeframe is explicitly bounded in the ET timezone, with immediate early resolution to Yes if the price target is reached. The designated exchange and trading pair are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider interpretation or reliance on unstated alternative price feeds.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▼ −0.8 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $120,000 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by 1-minute candle high prices on Binance's BTC/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $120,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·