Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has clear and deterministic resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market has clear and deterministic resolution criteria. Outcome determination relies exclusively on 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, specifically evaluating whether the final High price touches or exceeds $110,000 within the specified timeframe. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold or resolves to No after December 31, 2026, leaving minimal ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▼ −0.9 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $110,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, disregarding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final High price of $110,000 or greater between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Only data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair is considered; prices from other exchanges, alternative pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined by Binance chart data for 1-minute candles.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·