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CryptoCloses · in 48 days$7.8M volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

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Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution rules are precise and leave little room for subjective interpretation.

Read the full assessment

The resolution rules are precise and leave little room for subjective interpretation. Resolution is pegged strictly to Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices across an exact time window specified in the Eastern Time zone. The market resolves to Yes immediately if any eligible 1-minute candle registers a Low price at or below $55,000, and defaults to No after the final deadline if the threshold is not reached. Data from other exchanges or trading pairs is explicitly excluded.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

17%

chance

▲ +6 pts · 24h

Yes17¢
No84¢
↓ 55,000 · Yes · 1MO 8.5 H 19.5 L 6.5 C 16.5+8.0 (+94.1%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 06:10 UTC

The price rose from 9% to 20% as Bitcoin fell 1.8% on Binance during the move hour and 7.3% over 24 hours, making a dip to $55,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 27% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −7.3% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 48 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 60,000 (up), ↑ 95,000 (down), ↓ 45,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:21 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $55,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle low prices for the BTC/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $55,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome depends entirely on Binance BTC/USDT trading pair price data; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. Binance serves as the sole resolution source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·