Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide clear and precise mechanics.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide clear and precise mechanics. The market relies entirely on objective data from a single designated exchange pair, Binance BTC/USDT, using the low price of one-minute candles within a defined timeframe from November 24, 2025, through December 31, 2026, Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately to Yes if a qualifying candle hits or falls below $35,000, and No otherwise. Other exchanges, pairs, or metrics are explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.25 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) drops to $35,000 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $35,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or breaches that Low threshold during the specified window. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges, trading pairs, and spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·