Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the exact metric, trading pair, exchange, candle interval, and price field required for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the exact metric, trading pair, exchange, candle interval, and price field required for resolution. Resolution relies strictly on the 1-minute candle low price for BTC/USDT on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, Eastern Time. The market resolves early to Yes if the price touches or falls below $25,000 during this window, and to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion, and explicitly only Binance BTC/USDT data is considered.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $25,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, ignoring prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $25,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair on 1-minute chart settings, excluding all other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·