Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the target price, the start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and the exact resolution mechanism.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the target price, the start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and the exact resolution mechanism. Resolution relies strictly on objective data from the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle high, leaving no discretion to the decider. The market will resolve early to Yes if the price reaches $10,000 at any point during the observation window, and to No if it does not reach that level by the deadline. Participants should only note that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not trigger a resolution if they do not register on the specified Binance pair.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $10,000 against USDT on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly limited to Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, excluding data from all other exchanges or pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $10,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The sole deciding source is the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·