Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single named data source and trading pair.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single named data source and trading pair. Resolution relies on the final High price of 1-minute ETH/USDT candles on Binance reaching or exceeding $8,000 within an exact timeframe defined to the minute in Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold, or resolves negatively at the deadline if the level is not reached. Because it exclusively references the Binance ETH/USDT pair, price spikes or reaching the target price on other exchanges or currency pairs will not trigger a positive resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of $8,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the specified trading pair, excluding data from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) has a final High price equal to or greater than $8,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. It resolves to No if that price threshold is not reached during the specified timeframe. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·