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Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly defined, relying on a specific exchange (Binance) and pair (ETH/USDT) with a precise metric—the final High price of any 1-minute candle reaching $7,000 or greater.

Read the full assessment

The resolution criteria are clearly defined, relying on a specific exchange (Binance) and pair (ETH/USDT) with a precise metric—the final High price of any 1-minute candle reaching $7,000 or greater. The active timeframe is explicitly bounded between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET, with early resolution triggered immediately upon meeting the threshold. Participants should note that only this exact Binance pair is monitored; brief spikes or higher prices on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not count toward resolution.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

↔ ±0 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
↑ 7,000 · Yes · 1MO 1.1 H 1.6 L 0.8 C 0.8−0.3 (−26.1%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Ethereum reaches or exceeds $7,000 against USDT on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high price data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $7,000. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The deciding source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered.

Resolution source

Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·