Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market specifies unambiguous resolution criteria relying entirely on Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair.
Read the full assessment
The market specifies unambiguous resolution criteria relying entirely on Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair. An exact URL, timeframe with explicit timezone (ET), and metric (the candle's final high price) are defined, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion. The market resolves immediately if the $6,500 threshold is reached during the specified window, and resolves to No if the deadline passes without a qualifying candle. The main technical detail to keep in mind is that price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $6,500 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies solely on the ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high prices on Binance, excluding all other trading pairs and exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $6,500. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count. The deciding source is Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·