Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. Outcome determination relies entirely on a specified single source and trading pair (Binance ETH/USDT) using one-minute candle data within an explicitly defined timeframe and timezone. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the high price on any one-minute candle reaches or exceeds $5,000 during the window, and otherwise resolves to No after the final deadline. There is no decider discretion or ambiguous wording.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches $5,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance's ETH/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET shows a final High price of $5,000 or greater. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $5,000 during this timeframe. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·