Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on a clearly defined, objective metric using a single specified source.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on a clearly defined, objective metric using a single specified source. Resolution triggers immediately for Yes if any Binance one-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a High price of $4,000 or greater between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. If that price threshold is not reached during the window, the market resolves to No. The rules explicitly restrict data to the Binance ETH/USDT pair, meaning price spikes on other exchanges or alternate trading pairs do not qualify. There is minimal ambiguity or room for decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches $4,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is strictly tied to 1-minute candle high prices on Binance, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET shows a final High price of $4,000 or greater. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair, disregarding prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·