Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly defined and objective.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clearly defined and objective. The market relies on a specific single data point: the final high price of any one-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance within a precisely stated time window and timezone. It resolves immediately to Yes if the $3,500 threshold is reached at any point during that period, and defaults to No after the deadline if the price target is never reached. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.55 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a price of $3,500 or higher on Binance by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT trading pair shows a final High price of $3,500 or higher between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data, disregarding prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·