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CryptoCloses · in 48 days$3.4M volumePart of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? →

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

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Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution rules provide precise and objective conditions tied directly to a single, named source.

Read the full assessment

The resolution rules provide precise and objective conditions tied directly to a single, named source. Outcome determination relies strictly on the final low price of any one-minute candle on Binance's ETH/USDT trading pair within a clearly defined time window in Eastern Time. If the price reaches or falls below the specified $1,500 threshold at any point during this period, the market resolves immediately to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No after the final deadline. Position holders should be aware that price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

22%

chance

▲ +8.35 pts · 24h

Yes22¢
No78¢
↓ 1,500 · Yes · 1MO 8.4 H 23.9 L 7.8 C 21.8+13.4 (+158.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 05:10 UTC

The market price rose from 13% to 24%. Ethereum fell 2.8% on Binance during the move hour and 5.9% over 24 hours, making a dip to $1,500 more likely and serving as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 22% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −2.8% in the move hour, −5.9% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 48 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 3,000 (down), ↓ 1,250 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $1,500 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance ETH/USDT pair's 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,500 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·