Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the condition for resolution: a final Low price of $800 or lower on any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the condition for resolution: a final Low price of $800 or lower on any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market will resolve early to Yes as soon as this threshold is met, and to No if the window closes without hitting it. Resolution relies strictly on a single, specified trading pair and data feed on Binance, leaving essentially no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. Anyone holding a position should simply be aware that price action is measured solely on Binance ETH/USDT, so a flash crash or wick unique to that specific pair and exchange will count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.8 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $800 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle low prices, disregarding data from any other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price of $800 or lower between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $800 or lower during that specified timeframe. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·