Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules are straightforward and objective.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules are straightforward and objective. Resolution relies entirely on a single specified data source: the one-minute candle low prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance across an explicit timeframe. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price threshold is reached at any point during that window, and otherwise resolves to No after the final deadline. The only structural detail to note is that price action on other exchanges or other currency pairs has no bearing on the outcome, meaning a flash dip localized solely to Binance BTC/USDT would trigger a Yes resolution, while a dip occurring exclusively on other platforms would not.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) drops to $10,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance's 1-minute candlestick data and disregards all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $10,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance BTC/USDT chart data on the 1-minute candle setting. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·