Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the exact metric, threshold, and timeframe required for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the exact metric, threshold, and timeframe required for resolution. Resolution relies solely on the final High price of 1-minute candles on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Because a specific trading pair and charting timeframe on a single named exchange serve as the sole deterministic data source, there is negligible decider latitude or timing ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
6%
chance▼ −1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high of at least $95,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is restricted strictly to the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $95,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not met within that timeframe. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets do not count. The deciding source is Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·