brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 48 days$1.8M volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly define the condition required for resolution, specifying that any 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair with a final low price equal to or below $60,000 will trigger a positive outcome.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly define the condition required for resolution, specifying that any 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair with a final low price equal to or below $60,000 will trigger a positive outcome. A single specific data source, timeframe, and URL are designated, eliminating source ambiguity or decider discretion. The resolution window explicitly runs from market creation until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, leaving minimal room for unexpected interpretations.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

37%

chance

▲ +16 pts · 24h

Yes37¢
No64¢
↓ 60,000 · Yes · 1MO 14.5 H 39.5 L 9.5 C 36.5+22.0 (+151.7%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +23 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC

The market rose from 19% to 42% as Bitcoin fell 1.18% on Binance during the move hour and dropped 4.82% over the 24-hour window, making a dip to $60,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 45% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −4.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 49 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 65,000 (up), ↓ 70,000 (up), ↑ 90,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) drops to $60,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly based on Binance 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $60,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or falls below this price threshold during the specified timeframe. Price action prior to market creation, prices from other exchanges, and prices from other trading pairs or spot markets are not considered. The resolution is determined solely by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·