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CryptoCloses · in 48 days$990.8K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has clear and objective resolution mechanics.

Read the full assessment

This market has clear and objective resolution mechanics. It resolves to Yes if any one-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair shows a low price at or below $65,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A single, direct trading pair on a named exchange is designated as the sole data source, leaving virtually no room for decider interpretation or ambiguity.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

67%

chance

▲ +31 pts · 24h

Yes67¢
No34¢
↓ 65,000 · Yes · 1MO 22.5 H 73.0 L 17.5 C 66.5+44.0 (+195.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +31 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTC

The probability rose from 36% to 66% as Bitcoin fell 0.7% on Binance during the move hour and 3.2% over 24 hours, making a dip to $65,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 42% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −3.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 49 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70,000 (up), ↓ 60,000 (up), ↑ 90,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) dips to $65,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final Low price equal to or below $65,000 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation does not count. Resolution is determined solely using the 1-minute candle data from Binance for the BTC/USDT trading pair, disregarding data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·