Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the outcome mechanism and sources.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the outcome mechanism and sources. Resolution triggers as soon as three specified major media decision desks—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—all call the presidential race for the same candidate. In the event of a dispute or delayed calls where all three do not agree, the rules provide an unambiguous fallback resolving based on whoever is officially inaugurated on January 20, 2029. The terms are straightforward and leave minimal room for interpretation or unexpected outcomes.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andy Beshear wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if Andy Beshear wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. This market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The outcome is decided once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or the official inauguration
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·