Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide clear and objective criteria.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide clear and objective criteria. The market specifies three major named news organizations—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—and requires unanimous consensus among them to trigger resolution. In the event that these outlets do not reach a consensus, an unambiguous fallback resolves the market based on who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. The terms leave minimal room for subjective judgment or timing disputes.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The market resolves No if another candidate wins the election. The primary resolution sources are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The market resolves once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·