Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward and rely on three specific major media decision desks: the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward and rely on three specific major media decision desks: the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The market resolves as soon as all three named outlets project the same winner. In the event of a disputed or delayed call where all three do not reach a consensus prior to January 20, 2029, the market contains a definitive fallback that resolves based on whoever is officially inaugurated as president.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Market explained
This market measures whether Tim Scott will win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Tim Scott wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. It resolves to No if another person wins the election. Resolution is decided once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or the inauguration)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·