Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution relies on the first official announcement from the designated authority, the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that resolution relies on the first official announcement from the designated authority, the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The criteria for resolving to Yes are explicit, including handling joint awards, and a clear fallback deadline of March 31, 2028, ensures unambiguous resolution to No if no announcement occurs.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Market explained
This market measures whether Doctors Without Borders is awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for the year 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Doctors Without Borders is announced as a recipient of the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee, including if the prize is awarded jointly. The market resolves to No if Doctors Without Borders is not among the awarded recipients, or if no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize is made by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. The Norwegian Nobel Committee's first official announcement serves as the deciding source.
Resolution source
The first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·