Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has clear and objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market has clear and objective resolution criteria. It relies on a single specified data source, the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart, checking whether the final High price reaches or exceeds $190,000 within an explicit timeframe and timezone. The market resolves immediately if the target is met prior to the end date, or resolves to No after the deadline. There is no discretion involved in interpreting the outcome, though participants should be aware that only the Binance BTC/USDT pair counts, so price spikes on other exchanges or trading pairs will not trigger resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $190,000 or higher by December 31, 2026. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high price, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $190,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; data from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs is not considered. The deciding source is Binance.
Resolution source
Binance (BTC/USDT 1-minute chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·