Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clear and leave little room for ambiguity.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clear and leave little room for ambiguity. Resolution depends entirely on objective price data: the high price of any one-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance reaching or exceeding $160,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately to Yes as soon as this threshold is met; otherwise, it resolves to No after the final deadline. Position holders should be aware that only the specific Binance BTC/USDT trading pair is monitored, meaning price spikes or milestone crosses on other exchanges or alternative currency pairs will not trigger resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $160,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high data for the Binance BTC/USDT pair during the designated time window.
How it resolves
The market immediately resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $160,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not reached within that timeframe. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle High prices for the BTC/USDT pair; prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·