Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria. Resolution is determined strictly by the 1-minute candle high price of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly stated timeframe. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the $100,000 threshold is met on or before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET, and otherwise resolves to No. The single designated source leaves no room for interpretation or decider discretion, and trades on other exchanges or pairs are explicitly excluded.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▼ −1.55 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $100,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices during the specified window.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that threshold during the specified window. Resolution is decided strictly using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·