Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide precise, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide precise, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source. The market tracks the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart, requiring the final High price to meet or exceed $6,000 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. It resolves immediately to Yes upon hitting the target or to No after the deadline passes. The rules explicitly exclude other trading pairs and outside exchanges, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretations.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a price of $6,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance's ETH/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $6,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this threshold within the specified time window. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·