Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. The market resolves based exclusively on the one-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance within a specified timeframe. If a single candle reaches or exceeds $4,500, the market resolves immediately to Yes; if that threshold is never reached by December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET, it resolves to No. The single designated source and exact price metrics leave virtually no discretion to the decider.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of $4,500 or more on Binance. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle data within a specific observation window, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $4,500. It will resolve to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, excluding all other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·