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2,455 live markets · prices from Polymarket · Gotcha risk and tradability on every market card
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
3%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
3%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?
<1%chanceSince Nov 7↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026?
1%chance7 days▼ −3 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
<1%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
86%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes86¢No14¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
4%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes4¢No96¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
97%chance7 days▲ +2 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedHyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingWordingWill Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?
21%chanceSince Nov 9↔ ±0 ptsYes21¢No79¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedTimingExceptionsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
39%chance7 days▼ −18 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha medium · 4 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingWordingExceptionsWill Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?
48%chance7 days▲ +7 ptsYes48¢No53¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?
11%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes11¢No89¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
87%chanceSince Nov 10▲ +1 ptsYes87¢No14¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Getafe finish the UECL league phase with the best goal differential?
3%chanceSince Nov 7↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedExceptionsResolverWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
8%chance7 days▼ −4 ptsYes8¢No92¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolver+4 more outcomes +12 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
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Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.